Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Chance of Asteroid 2024 YR4 Striking The Earth Bumped Up Again

A week ago, I noted that scientists had placed the odds of Asteroid 2024 YR 4 striking the Earth in 2032 as 2.3%. That figure has been bumped up, with NASA now saying that there is a 2.6% chance it will hit the Earth. "Those are the same odds as having your number come up on a spin of a standard American roulette wheel," reports the Daily Mail. Also, "[w]ere the asteroid to hit Earth, NASA estimates that the explosion would be equivalent to eight megatons of TNT." 

Related: "Scientists pinpoint exactly WHERE the 'city-destroying' asteroid could strike Earth in 2032"--Daily Mail. I wouldn't say exactly. It is a band stretching from off the west coast of Central America, across northern South America, through the center of Africa, along the Southern Coast of the Arabian Peninsula, and then through India.

2 comments:

  1. Sounds very uncertain if and where it would strike. What is very certain is that they'll find some way to blame it on Donald Trump.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Well, if he is responsible for a plane crash in Canada, why not a celestial object?

      Delete

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