Sunday, June 25, 2017

Micah 5:8 and Civil War


       There is increasing discussion of the possibility of the United States disintegrating, whether it be a de facto secession or a civil war. For instance, Jason Willick, writing at The American Interest, comments on California's "soft secession"--the beginning of a social and economic separation from the conservative portions of the United States by such actions as California banning the use of public funds to pay for travel to a growing list of States that have not adopted California's boundless acceptance of sexual deviancy. While the impact, at this stage, is largely symbolic, the author writes, represents a serious threat to the Union. Willick observes:
... American federalism is based on the agreement that different states can pursue different policies (within Constitutional bounds) while retaining equal status within the union. California’s decision to escalate the culture war with “sanctions” against states with different political orientations represents a direct challenge to America’s federal structure.
He adds:
If we accept this precedent—if blue states begin to sanction red states and red states return the favor—then it’s easy to see how the culture war’s tendency to escalate could produce a full-blown constitutional crisis, or worse. We need to stop this before it sets us on a road from which there’s no turning back.
        That road is the one that leads to civil war, and it is probably inevitable because we have reached a point where the values of a large segment of the population is incompatible with the values of the other half. Earlier this month, Clifford Humphrey hit the nail on the head, I think, as the general Red/Blue divide. He explained:
       ... It is clear that we are not arguing, at bottom, about different means to the same ends. We do not even agree about what the ends should be. For example, the real argument is not about what may be the most prudent way to deal with the large population of illegal immigrants living and possibly voting in our country. The argument is about whether citizens of any country have the right to say who can become a fellow citizen. The disagreement is so sharp because it is a disagreement about justice itself. 
         To put the issue in Lincoln’s terms, now the Left insists Americans only tolerate illegal immigration, but cease to call open borders wrong and join its proponents in calling it right. We must cease to call abortion wrong and join the Left in calling it right. And so on with economic issues, health issues, social and moral issues. ...
Angelo Codevilla similarly has written:
       ... The 2016 election and its aftermath reflect the distinction, difference, even enmity that has grown exponentially over the past quarter century between America’s ruling class and the rest of the country. During the Civil War, President Lincoln observed that all sides “pray[ed] to the same God.” They revered, though in clashing ways, the same founders and principles. None doubted that those on the other side were responsible human beings. Today, none of that holds. Our ruling class and their clients broadly view Biblical religion as the foundation of all that is wrong with the world. According to the U.S. Civil Rights Commission, “The phrases ‘religious liberty’ and ‘religious freedom’ will stand for nothing except hypocrisy so long as they remain code words for discrimination, intolerance, racism, sexism, homophobia, Islamophobia, Christian supremacy, or any form of intolerance.”
       The government apparatus identifies with the ruling class’s interests, proclivities, and tastes, and almost unanimously with the Democratic Party. As it uses government power to press those interests, proclivities, and tastes upon the ruled, it acts as a partisan state. This party state’s political objective is to delegitimize not so much the politicians who champion the ruled from time to time, but the ruled themselves. Ever since Woodrow Wilson nearly a century and a half ago at Princeton, colleges have taught that ordinary Americans are rightly ruled by experts because they are incapable of governing themselves. Millions of graduates have identified themselves as the personifiers of expertise and believe themselves entitled to rule. Their practical definition of discrimination, intolerance, racism, sexism, etc., is neither more nor less than anyone’s reluctance to bow to them. It’s personal.
Or, as Daniel Greenfield points out, "[t]he left doesn’t want to secede. It wants to rule. Political conflicts become civil wars when one side refuses to accept the existing authority. The left has rejected all forms of authority that it doesn’t control." Because it is about control, because it is personal, there is no amicable divorce in the offing, either.

       Accepting that a hot civil war is inevitable, it naturally raises the question of who would win. A common argument is similar to the following:
       If civil war comes, on one side you'll have the guys with all the guns and they've made no secret about their intent to keep them. Their women are pretty, dedicated wives and mothers. They've built communities and nations that last centuries. 
       On the other side, the women have the facial hair and the men have boobs. Those that manage to successfully mate tend to abort their children before they're born. If they do successfully mate, and if they choose not to flush the fetus down the crapper, their children tend to turn out [as effeminate transgender queers].
However, David Hines, in an article at Jacobite magazine entitled, "Political Violence Is A Game The Right Can't Win" argues that the political left is more organized and would, therefore have the upper hand. In this regard, Hines writes:
       The organizational capacity required to build a new world is the same organizational capacity have Lefties built to pressure government. So who’s in a better position to shape the big moment when it comes?  Hell, if tomorrow civilization goes completely Mad Max: who’s got existing local networks of people who they’re used to turning out and doing stuff with on a regular basis?  Answer to both questions: not the Right. 
       Passivists say activism accomplishes nothing. What it actually accomplishes is practice.  Practice for networking, practice for turnout, practice for speed, practice working as a team. Anybody who’s ever tried to get five people together for dinner knows it’s a pain, but look at the airport protests after the travel ban, and see how many people the hard Left can turn out on next to no notice.  Say the balloon were to suddenly go up: forget having a detailed and specific plan; in that first five minutes, do you — not some veterans’ network you’re hoping will salvage things, not some imaginary Great Man; *specifically you* — even know who you’re going to call? 
       The Lefties do. And that’s why righties who say the Right has nothing to learn from the Left are wrong. That’s because righties don’t read lefty books. I read lefty books and organizational manuals, and I can tell you: they’re smart. 
       Accordingly, righties face two major challenges: building things, and understanding the strengths, weaknesses, and tactics of their Lefty opposition.  Righties won’t do the same things as the Left, or do them in the same ways, but that doesn’t mean the Lefties don’t have lessons we can learn. 
       The first thing righties have to understand about Lefties is that lefties have a lot more practice building their own institutions, and assuming control of existing institutions, than their counterparts on the right do, and they share their practical experience with each other. Righties who like to build churches will build a church and worship in it. Lefties who like to build churches will build a church, write a book telling people how to build churches, go out and convince people church-building is the thing to do, run workshops on how to finance, build, and register churches, and then they’ll offer to arrange church guest speakers who’ll come preach the Lefty line. 
 He has a point. The Left has conducted a successful march through the institutions, while, as Vox Day likes to point out, Conservatives have failed to conserve anything. As I've noted before, as a consequence of the march through the institutions, Leftists do not require an explicit conspiracy. Rather, as Sarah Hoyt explains, it instead provides guiding principles and abiding ideas "that inform and shape a movement, and in people so completely in communion with the revealed message of 'progressivism' that they will do the things that no police force or government could force them to do, were they free."

       But a review of history would suggest that Hines confidence may be misplaced. For one thing, socialism embodies a flaw so basic that it must always fail: it views "people as a homogeneous mass, with identical needs, without taking into account the differences that abound in character, ability, intelligence and other aspects that make us all uniquely human," and its solutions to inequality is merely a different form of slavery and inequality. Socialism is so antithetical to human experience that people will naturally tend to vomit up its teachings once they have adequate life experiences.

      The other flaw is Hines belief that the Left has the superior skill set. This skill set is the experience to subvert existing institutions. Contrary to Hines position, the Left is not the type to build, but is a cancer that slowly takes over organizations founded by others. Besides, if we are talking a hot civil war, the fact that it has judges that belong or belonged to the National Lawyers Guild, or community organizers experienced at blackmailing cities and corporations, is of less use than experience with naked force. In that regard, I must point out that the modern left is not the fighters hardened by the horrors of World War I such as Lenin had at his disposal, nor the militant core that remained to Mao Zedong following his long march. Rather, the Left represents the old and tired remains of a civilization in the winter of its life, as Spengler would describe it. It's only hope is to pit us against each other.

       Finally, while the Right may lack the likes of AntiFa or Black Lives Matter, it has other organizations that have proven very effective at calling up people in times of disaster or other great need: churches. And this is not something for the Left to lightly dismiss. For instance, we read in Micah 5:8:
And the remnant of Jacob shall be among the Gentiles in the midst of many people as a lion among the beasts of the forest, as a young lion among the flocks of sheep: who, if he go through, both treadeth down, and teareth in pieces, and none can deliver.
LDS readers should read and understand: they know their lineage. But more generally, the Lord will protect his own. Just as churches responded quickly and decisively to assist after Hurricane Katrina, we can expect that churches and congregations will be able to respond to other threats. So, in response to Hines' question, "Do you ... even know who you’re going to call?," I can say: yes, yes I do.

June 24, 2017 -- A Quick Run Around the Web

The title is a bit misleading. The author is not contending that the Mini-14 is necessarily a better rifle, overall. Rather, he notes 8 features or attributes of the Mini-14 in which he believes it excels over the AR. He also gives a bit of a history of the newer models where Ruger worked on making the Mini-14 more accurate than it had been. One thing I found puzzling, however, was the difficulty that the author had in removing magazines from the Mini-14. I have found that when using factory Ruger magazines, the magazines will easily drop free just by pressing the magazine release.

  • First up, Active Response Training has a new Weekend Knowledge Dump. As always, a good selection of articles on firearms and self-defense. A couple in particular jumped out at me: an article entitled "The Myth of Perfect Situational Awareness," which seems self explanatory; and an article on the history of the .38 S&W cartridge, and the differences between it and the .38 Special. But check them all out.
  • "HAM Advice From Warrior Capitalist"--Mason Dixon Tactical. This is a re-post of an article offering advice on how to prepare and obtain a HAM license.
  • "Portrait of a bad shoot"--Vox Popoli. Vox Day comments on the acquittal of Officer Jeronimo Yanez for the shooting-death of Philando Castile, and, in particular, Yanez's claim that he feared for his life because he smelled marijuana smoke coming from the vehicle. Specifically, Yanez claimed: "if he’s, if he has the, the guts and the audacity to smoke marijuana in front of the five-year-old girl and risk her lungs and risk her life by giving her secondhand smoke and the front seat passenger doing the same thing then what, what care does he give about me...." If that is the criteria, then it is open season on cigarette smokers. In any event, Day writes:
Police must be held to a higher standard by the law, not so much to protect the public as to protect the police themselves as well as their standing with the public. A decline in discipline and accountability has never generated increased respect for the members of any organization.
  • "Does Pointing Your Gun Up Affect Accuracy? ARDEC Study Reveals the Effect of Weapon Orientation on Ammunition Velocity and Consistency [NDIA 2017]"--Nathaniel F. at The Firearms Blog. The study "examined the effect of ullage (free space in a loaded round) and orientation on the consistency and velocity of small arms ammunition." He adds: "The findings of the study may not be exceptionally surprising – it turns out that rounds with more ullage are less consistent – but they are remarkable in how detailed they are." This is generally more of an issue in cartridges with longer cases (e.g., .38 Special and .357 Magnum) where the powder load does not fill, or mostly fill, the case capacity. Where this seems important, at least where I've heard, is in competition shooting where a competitor may seek to load a cartridge with the lowest possible recoil, but must still meet minimum power requirements for the competition. The orientation of the cartridges (tilted nose first) can sometimes dip a competitor on the edge of the envelope below the minimum. 
  • "The Missile Type"--Guns Magazine. A primer on different types of bullets and for what they are used, the different sizes and types of bird shot and buck shot, and a look at cast bullets.
  • "Shooter, Train Thyself"--Guns Magazine. Some advice for new shooters to take a shooting class, for more experienced shooters to seek out competition shooting (e.g., IDPA) if they want more of a challenge, and a shooting "drill" to increase your pistol marksmanship:
       Between beginners and blazing-fast blasters there’s “muddlers in the middle,” like me (and maybe you). Here’s my default drill which works with both long guns and handguns: Set up an array of cardboard torso targets; full-size, 2/3-size plus 10-inch and 5-inch mini-torsos. Set a shot-timer like the PACT Club Timer III to give you a starting beep and time elapsed at your last shot.
           Shoot singles or doubles on each of your multiple targets, at whatever speed is necessary to assure all “center hits.” Increase speed until you start dropping shots, then slow down and work up again. It’s simple, measurable and effective. Integrate reloading, movement, hitchin’ your britches or whatever. Keep records, just so’s you can chuff yourself up over your amazing improvement.
      Remember that there is a trade-off between accuracy and speed, and you want a proper balance. While it is true that you can never miss fast enough to win a fight, tight groups mean nothing if you can't shoot them fast enough to matter. 

      Other Stuff:
               Most illegal immigrants who pay taxes have stolen someone else’s legal identity, and the IRS doesn’t do a very good job of letting those American citizens and legal immigrants know they’re being impersonated, the tax agency’s inspector general said in a new report released Thursday.
                 The theft creates major problems for the American citizens and legal foreign workers whose identities are stolen, and who have to deal with explaining money they never earned.
                   But the IRS only manages to identify half of the potentially 1.4 million people likely affected by the fraud in 2015, the Treasury Inspector General for Tax Administration said in its report.
            • "The FBI’s Briefing On The GOP Baseball Shooting Couldn’t Have Been More Bizarre"--Mollie Hemingway at The Federalist. Despite admitting that James Hodgkinson had a long history of ranting against Republicans, had a list of Republican Congressmen, had researched and reconnoitered the baseball field where the shooting took place, the FBI concluded that Hodgkinson had not planned his attack (which would clearly show the attack as a case of leftist terrorism) but that the attach was instead a spontaneous act--a consequence of anger management issues. 
            The claim that tourists take pictures of a a completely unremarkable baseball field in a tiny neighborhood also seems odd, particularly when the pictures were taken a few days after The New York Times reported that Republican members of Congress practice baseball there with little security. 
            In a related article, "Who Does The FBI Work For?", Ben Domenech cautions: 
            Step back, though, and think on the institutional conclusions here. Considering how ludicrous the FBI’s conclusions are as it relates to an attack on the third ranking member of the House of Representatives, you might reconsider whether to trust the FBI’s conclusions in other areas, as well. And this is how our faith in institutions is degraded: steadily, gradually, with incident after incident where men in suits stand in front of microphones and make claims we know are not the whole truth.
            • "Sea of sarin: North Korea’s chemical deterrent"--Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. The article warns that North Korea would, in the event of military action against it, shell Seoul, South Korea, with artillery shells, including many carrying chemical weapons. The article notes:
            By 2010, North Korea was estimated to possess 2,500 to 5,000 tons of chemical weapons, mostly sarin and the nerve agent VX. Furthermore, it is assumed that North Korean military doctrine treats chemical weapons as a natural aspect of the nation’s scheme of maneuver, and that chemical weapons would be used from the outset of hostilities. Chemical weapons are reportedly pre-deployed—with one out of three North Korean projectiles believed to be chemical. The February assassination of Kim Jong-nam in Malaysia with VX was undoubtedly a reminder to North Korea’s enemies of the chemical threat that Pyongyang poses.
                     We are getting ever deeper into this six-year sectarian and civil war. And what we may be witnessing now are the opening shots of its next phase — the battle for control of the territory and population liberated by the fall of Raqqa and the death of the ISIS “caliphate.”
                       The army of President Bashar Assad seeks to recapture as much lost territory as possible and they have the backing of Russia, Iranian troops, Shiite militia from Iraq and Afghanistan, and Hezbollah.
                         Assad’s and his allied forces opposing ISIS are now colliding with the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces opposing ISIS, which consist of Arab rebels and the Syrian Kurds of the PYD.
                           But if America has decided to use its air power to shoot down Syrian planes attacking rebels we support, this could lead to a confrontation with Russia and a broader, more dangerous, and deadly war for the United States.
                             How would we win such a war, without massive intervention?
                               Is this where we are headed? Is this where we want to go?
                          I would say that it is where the globalists/ internationalists/ multi-nationalists want to go. In 2012, Obama mocked Romney for calling Russia a geo-political foe. Yet all we have heard throughout Hillary Clinton's campaign and the months subsequent is the threat that Russia posses. The New York Times reported, for instance, on October 20, 2016:
                                   Hillary Clinton made it abundantly clear Wednesday night that if she defeats Donald J. Trump next month she will enter the White House with the most contentious relationship with Russia of any president in more than three decades, and with a visceral, personal animus toward Vladimir V. Putin, its leader.
                                    “We haven’t seen a you-can’t-trust-these-guys tone like this since the days of Ronald Reagan,” said Stephen Sestanovich, who served in President Bill Clinton’s State Department and is the author of “Maximalist: America in the World from Truman to Obama.” “But even that was more a systemic criticism of the Soviet Union. This is focused on Putin himself.”
                                       In a reversal of political roles, Mrs. Clinton, the Democratic candidate, is the one portraying Mr. Putin as America’s newest archenemy, whose underlings hack into her Brooklyn campaign headquarters, bomb Syrian civilians and threaten Ukraine and NATO allies in Europe. For a woman who presented a big red “reset” button to her Russian counterpart in March 2009 (with the word incorrectly translated into Russian), the change in tone was more striking than ever in her debate with Donald J. Trump.
                                         She, and the Obama White House, insist they were on the right course until Mr. Putin decided he had more to gain from reviving Cold War tensions than from a quarter-century effort to integrate with the West. Now, much of the Democratic foreign policy establishment has become as hawkish as Mrs. Clinton on the subject of Russia, a view that seems almost certain to outlast the campaign.
                                  • "Incitement to Violence"--City Journal. Key point: "The daily repetition that President Trump is an illegitimate usurper who stole the election through collusion with foreign powers has been a hypnotic incantation in search of an Oswald: a siren call for an assassin."
                                  • Game of thrones: "The Rise of Mohammed bin Salman"--American Interest. King Salman of Saudi Arabia has promoted his 31-year-old son, Mohammed bin Salman, to be next in line to the throne.

                                  Saturday, June 24, 2017

                                  Lizard Saturday

                                  I accompanied my kids on a church young men's overnight camp out, and came across this critter on an early morning stroll. It was still very early in the morning, and cool enough, that I think the lizard was too sluggish to move.

                                  Thursday, June 22, 2017

                                  June 22, 2017 -- A Quick Run Around the Web

                                  "Amazing Ballistic Gel Test!! **Hornady 223 & 30-06**"--The Wound Channel (8 1/2 min.)
                                  The test is Hornady "Black Box" .223 FMJ versus Hornady's .30-06 Springfield 178 GR ELD-X Precision Hunter. Both expanded quite well. But that is what makes the 5.56/.223 so effective is that the FMJ bullets will expand, yaw or fragment and produce permanent damage channels that FMJ in other calibers won't.

                                  • I was at a gun show this last weekend and had the opportunity to handle a couple of the Robinson Arms XCR rifles. The problem with people trying to sell alternatives to the AR system, whether it is something pricey like the XCR, or even less expensive AK rifles, is this: ARs are super inexpensive lately. For instance, Center Fire Systems is advertising an entry level AR by Del-Ton for $399.99, including shipping
                                  • "Ready to Strike: The New .38 Special Colt Cobra – Full Review"--Guns America. The author provides some background on Colts generally, and the Cobra specifically, a short Q&A with a Colt representative, and both a video and written review of the new Cobra. The one thing that set the old Colts apart from S&W or Ruger revolvers was the smooth triggers--a result of the extensive hand-fitting required for Colt revolvers. So, the big question for me is what is the trigger like on this new model. Apparently pretty good. The author states that he "checked the pull on [his] Wheeler Digital Trigger Gauge, and the single-action breaks at just over 2 pounds, while the double-action is a consistent 7 pounds." He also indicated that he thought that the trigger was as good as the last Python he had shot. In any event, groups were pretty good--about 1.6 inches at 10 yards with the tested ammunition.
                                  • How quick can you get the knife open and in your hand?
                                  • Can you open the knife with one hand?
                                  • Can you reach the knife with either hand?
                                  • Can you deploy the knife if someone grabs you from behind and pins both of your arms to your sides?
                                  • Can the blade shape and edge profile snag in flesh or thick clothing?
                                  • Does the blade have a highly visible reflective finish on it?
                                  • Does it have a balance between concealment capabilities and accessibility?
                                  • If it’s a folder, is the locking mechanism on it solid?
                                  • How loud is it when you take the blade out of its sheath or unfold it?
                                  • Does it have markings or writing on it that identify it as only a weapon? (like tactical, skulls or a dragon with a ninja riding it)
                                  • Can you maintain it out in the field without any special tools?
                                  • Can you afford to lose it in case you need to dump it?
                                  • Do you have a training version of the rig or folder you plan to carry? (Very important)
                                  • Are you willing to invest in edged weapons training and not just carry a knife like some sort of amulet to ward off danger?
                                  • Are you prepared to maim or kill someone with it if the need arises?
                                         I'm going to go out on a limb here and say that these questions are all factors to consider, but not a make-or-break deal on any one or two or three of them. For instance, I doubt that you could find training versions of most fixed blades on the market, let alone any folders. It would be nice, but just not realistic. 
                                         "Can you maintain it out in the field without any special tools?" I believe the author is discussing sharpening the blade (I can't think of anything else) using a simple honing stone rather than a Lansky, Work Sharp, or similar sharpening systems. Since this is a self-defense tool--not a field knife--I'm going to rate this pretty low as a priority. It is sort of like asking if you can load your own ammunition rather than having to purchase it already loaded.  
                                         "Does the blade have a highly visible reflective finish on it?" I'm not sure why this even matters, but I suppose a highly reflective blade would be easier for a perp to see and, thus, potentially warn him off his attack. 
                                         "Can you deploy the knife if someone grabs you from behind and pins both of your arms to your sides?" Can you draw a pistol if someone grabs you from behind and pins both of your arms to your sides?  You are never going to have a weapon stashed where it needs to be for all possible situations.
                                         The author leaves out one of the most important features of a defensive knife, in my mind, which is: if you stab someone with it, is there a guard or deep finger groove to keep your hand from sliding over the edge of the blade and causing you to cut yourself?
                                  • "How to Choose Lights and Lasers for Your CCW"--Guns & Ammo. This is another article with different tips or insights on the product: in this case, lights and lasers. One thing I will add is that a laser sight needs to be as close to the bore axis of the weapon as possible. There are two ways to aim the laser: parallel to the bore axis, so that the beam will (in theory) be the same distance from where the bullet strikes over the useful range of the laser, or you can sight it in so that the laser dot will intersect with the path of the bullet at a particular range. If the former, and you are trying to make accurate shots, you will have to mentally adjust for the difference; but the closer to the bore axis, the less different there will be. If you "sight in" the laser, you don't have that problem--at the given distance it is sighted in--but the laser will be off at all other distances either because it has yet to reach the path of the bullet, or it has crossed the path of the bullet (essentially the path of the bullet and the path of the laser make a large X). Once the paths start diverging you could see difference between where the bullet will strike and the laser beam strikes magnified from mere inches to many inches or more at longer ranges.This is obviously aggravated the farther the laser is from the bore axis. For example (assuming a straight path for the bullet), if you sight the laser so it is spot on with the POI of the bullet at 10 feet, and the laser sits two inches below the bore axis, the laser beam will strike 2 inches high at 20 feet, 4 inches high at 30 feet (10 yards), and 10 inches high at 60 feet (20 yards). 
                                  • "Lightning Review: Forward Controls Design EMR-A Ambi Mag Catch/Release"--The Firearms Blog. This is a design that can be used with a standard lower and magazine release cut-out.

                                  Other Stuff:
                                  • "Is The Muslim World Going r?"--Anonymous Conservative. He cites an article documenting the decline in birth rates and marriage rates among Muslims. This is particularly true in the Near- and Middle-East, as David P. Goldman documented in his book Why Civilizations Die. Goldman focused on the loss of religious faith as a key factor in declining birth rates (since, as he also points out, people of strong faith continue to have large numbers of children). r/K theory would explain the same phenomena from the other side of the coin using a biological basis. But what it boils down to is a society chasing after its immediate gratification rather than living as part of a chain of forebears stretching from the past, through the living, and into unborn descendants reaching into the future. Certainly, the cultures that have failed to live this way have been smitten with a curse, just as stated in Malachi 4:6.
                                  • "Kepler Team Releases Final Exoplanet Catalog"--Sky & Telescope. The interesting part of this is that small rocky planets seem to clump into two groups: those about Earth size or slightly larger, or between 2 and 3 times the size of the Earth. That suggests that there should be plenty of Earth sized worlds out there.

                                  Wednesday, June 21, 2017

                                  June 21, 2017 -- A Quick Run Around the Web

                                  Survival Lilly (9 min.)

                                  • "US Banned VEPR Due To Sanctions? Looks Like It!"--The Firearms Blog. Molot-Oruzhie, the manufacturer of the VEPR rifles and shotguns apparently has been bought or is otherwise now financially connected to Kalashnikov Concern, which was one of the original targets of the sanctions.
                                  • The headline is being sarcastic: "Look Out ISIS, UK Special Forces to Get the Deadliest Ammo Ever Invented!"--The Truth About Guns. Although adopting some hollow-point designs, the Brits are apparently also adopting G2 Research’s RIP ammunition, which has been shown to lack the necessary penetration to be reliably effective.
                                  • "How to Make a Bola for Small Game Hunting"--Outdoor Life. Instructions on making the bola and how they work to take down game, but doesn't explain how to throw the bola. I imagine that, like other hand propelled missile weapons, it is going to take some practice to become proficient.
                                  • "Study: Newbies Better Able to Kill Assailants With Head Shot Than Cops"--The Truth About Guns. The 2015 study compared novices against people with intermediate firearms skills and those considered "expert" that had received formal police firearms training. On most shooting tasks the expert and intermediate shooters outperformed the novice shooters, but not by much. However, this changed when considering head shots:
                                         “At close distances,” Lewinski told Force Science News, “intermediate and novice shooters tended to shoot at the target’s head more often and with greater accuracy than law enforcement trained shooters.”

                                           Nearly 60% of novices’ rounds hit the head at the crucial three-foot distance, compared to just 21% of experts’ shots. That hit rate dropped to about 24% for novices at nine feet–but to a dismal 6% for experts. Every group’s hits continued to decline as distance expanded, but both intermediates and novices continued to out-score trained officers on successful headshots as distance grew.
                                    • "New Copper Basin Takedown Firearm Backpack"--The Firearms Blog. The pack is intended to specifically look "non-tactical" and discrete--i.e., like a day pack or travelers back pack. It is designed for take down rifles--such as the 10-22 Takedown, AR-7, Kel-Tech Sub-2000--and AR or AK pistols.
                                    • "3 Tips for Survival Trapping in Warm Weather"--Outdoor Life. The main point is that the warmer weather means that meat will spoil faster. Accordingly, try and use traps that immobilize rather than kill, and be aware flies, spoilage, etc.
                                    • "Caught on video: Woman punched 39 times in Planet Fitness parking lot"--CBS News. (See also The Daily Mail's report on the same incident). According to the articles, the attacker waited outside the Planet Fitness for nearly 8 hours, until the victim's work shift ended. Then, as she was walking to her car, he walked past her--with a car between the two of them--then came up behind her and struck her in the back of the head. I recommend watching the video, but here are a couple of photographs from the surveillance camera that show how the attacker approached his victim.

                                           Of course, this is a perfect example where an attacker waits until a victim is away from possible witnesses or assistance and distracted (in this case, as she prepares to unlock her vehicle--assuming the red car was hers). Although the suspect had decided on his victim at least 8 hours prior, and kept a car between him and his victim to allay suspicion, there are certain "tells" that should have at least warned the woman to be on guard. First, there is the fact that this man "coincidentally" was walking across what appears to be a mostly deserted parking lot late at night.  The other is that, as he passes the bumper of the car separating him from his victim, he has already began to angle his course of travel, even though he was in view of the woman at the time. 
                                           Fortunately, the woman was not seriously injured, raped, or killed. It is not clear to me that she could have avoided the attacker: if she ran or tried to otherwise evade him, he may have still pursued and caught her (I'm going to be blunt--unless there is a gross difference in physical ability from the normal--for instance, a woman who is an athlete versus a very weak/out of shape man--a man is going to be physically faster and much stronger than a woman); but he also might have gotten frightened and left. Depending on when she saw the man, she may have been able to return to the Planet Fitness (hopefully there would have been other employees still there). If she didn't see him until the two were closer, she could have changed to walking to the other side of the red car, thus putting more distance between her and the attacker, and/or turning to keep him in view so she would know if she needed to run or otherwise keep away from him. 
                                           If she'd had a weapon, she could have prepared to draw her weapon (or, even, discreetly drawn it) in anticipation of an attack. I generally carry my R51 in a pocket holster, and, on occasions when I've been suspicious, I'll put my hand in my pocket with my fingers around the grip, ready to draw if necessary.

                                    Other Stuff:
                                             The woman said she was forced to have unprotected oral, vaginal and anal sex with three Ethiopian men who she identified in court, The Local reports. 
                                               She claimed the men took it in turns to rape her, sometimes acting as a group, and sometimes individually.
                                          This is a German court, so the judge will likely free the refugees and apologize for the inconvenience that the trial caused them.
                                                   The CSB now translates the term anthropos, a Greek word for “man,” in a gender-neutral form 151 times, rendering it “human,” “people,” and “ones.” The previous edition had done this on occasion; the new revision adds almost 100 more instances. “Men of Israel” becomes “fellow Israelites;” when discussing Jesus’s incarnation the “likeness of men” becomes “likeness of humanity.” The CSB translates the term adelphoi, a Greek word for “brother” in a gender-neutral form 106 times, often adding “sister.” “Brotherly love” is translated “love as brothers and sisters.”
                                                     The gender-neutralizing pattern is also present in its translation of the Old Testament. For instance, where the NIV “gender-neutral” revision uses the term “human” or “humanly” for a masculine term, the CSB concurs with a “human” “humanly” or “human being(s)” 67 times. As the CSB translates the Hebrew term ‘dm (the word for adam), the generic “man, men,” it uses gender-neutral language of “human(s), humanity, human kind, people, person(s)” 242 times. The CSB also uses the term “mortal” or “mere mortal” to replace a masculine term 6 times. Numerous other instances of gender-neutral translations of masculine terminology exist across both testaments.
                                                Dalrock discusses this in much more depth at this blog.
                                                       Because what happens if the voice of half of America is effectively silenced by the DC swamp and its media guardians? The Tea Party was the first manifestation of the anger out there at the establishment. It was polite – it even cleaned up its own messes after its peaceful protests. The media, and the same alleged conservatives who saw the Tea Party as a threat to their own position because it caused donors to start asking for results instead of simply writing checks, attacked the Tea Party. Well, then we got Trump, who was not nearly as polite, and who took the White House fair and square from the designated establishment candidate. And now they want to use non-ballot means to make sure the normals’ choice is again ignored.
                                                         What do they think comes after Trump? Someone nice?
                                                           Do they think we stop demanding we be heard? Do they think we give up on participating in governing the country that we normals built, that we normals paid for, and that we normals fought for?
                                                      * * *
                                                               No, that’s not going to happen. If liberals like chaos and even violence – and their *wink wink* denunciations of their own creature’s attempted conservative murder spree and their squealing delight in a high-profile play where the President is butchered onstage show they think they do – then the way to get chaos and violence is for them to succeed in their campaign of fascist, anti-democratic scheming against the guy who beat the harpy they nominated.
                                                                 If you want real political chaos and real political violence, then just keep going down this path. You can’t light the fuse and not get the explosion. I saw what happens when you toss away the rule of law – don’t do it.
                                                          • "Oncoming Racial Doom: The Clash of Cultures"--Fred Reed. The author describes how, when he was young and naive, he was hopeful that with the end of segregation blacks would become part of mainstream America, buoying up the nation, despite his parents' warning that it would never work; but he came to realize that his parents were correct all along. Reed writes:
                                                                 For decades white America made a desperate attempt to raise blacks to the level of the First World. It didn’t work. Instead saw a dragging down  of society to the culture of the ghetto. Blacks were behaving as usual as spoiled brats. Anything that upset them, as everything did, any expectation that they behave, led to cries of racism and depredations by such as Black Lives Matter.
                                                                    As I  mentioned, my parents had said that blacks were could not function in the First World. It seemed that they were right. Desegregation had not worked, nor integration, nor quotas nor affirmative action nor Head Start.  What didn’t work was turning blacks into members of a European civilization in which they had no interest. It would have worked no better had blacks lived in China, Japan, or Russia.
                                                                       Nothing worked and nothing is going to work. There is clarity in this realization, a clarity to admitting what is actually happening. It avoids tortured reasoning to show  that the dysfunction of blacks is due to anything and everything but blacks themselves. One need not make endless excuses for endless bad behavior, for the crime and dependency, the racial attacks, and the degradation of society.
                                                                         The culture of the ghetto opposes everything usually believed proper in an advanced  society: high academic standards, equality of opportunity, good English, minimal obscenity, equality under the law, low rates of crime, reasonable self-reliance, freedom of speech. Black culture, intensely racist, encourages none of these and opposes most. It is tribal, based on identity, instead of principle. 
                                                                We could have had moon bases, space stations, and super-fast train systems, but we instead wasted the money and resources on a fool's errand. 
                                                                • Racial healing: "Professor Calls Whites 'Inhuman A**holes,' Tells Blacks to 'Let Them F*cking Die'"--PJ Media. The black professor, Johnny Eric Williams, who is an associate professor of sociology at Trinity College in Hartford, Connecticut, was apparently calling for white genocide, and upset that a black police officer had acted to save Republican Congressmen from a leftist terrorist in the recent Alexandria shooting. This is actually a quite stupid position for this professor to take: simply put, blacks need whites much more than whites need blacks. See, e.g., Zimbabwe.
                                                                (Update 6/22/2017: clarification of some of my comments on the woman who was punched 39 times).

                                                                Tuesday, June 20, 2017

                                                                June 20, 2017 -- A Quick Run Around the Web

                                                                "r/K: The Evolutionary Psychology Behind Politics (by Anonymous Conservative  and read by Tara McCarthy)"--posted and illustrated by Matthew Drake (22 min.). The key points of r/K theory as applied to politics.

                                                                1. Update your curtains to medium-colored drapes or curtains with white plastic backings to prevent an exchange of heat between your apartment interior and the windows.
                                                                2. Use a "swamp cooler" (evaporative cooler). I presume this recommendation is for people without air conditioners. I would note that these work best in dryer climates, but use a lot of water. From personal experience using one for a couple summers in an apartment, the matting that soaks up the water needs to be cared for and cleaned to reduce the growth of mold or mildew. The author notes that running a fan across ice can also help cool the air.
                                                                3. Avoid cooking with a stove top or oven, because it can heat up your apartment. The alternative is to use food that doesn't need cooking in its preparation (e.g., sandwiches), grilling outdoors, or using a slow-cooker or microwave oven for cooking (both of which will not heat up your living space like a regular oven or stove,  
                                                                4. Wear a cooling scarf, by which the author means gel filled cloths that, when wet, absorb water and allow the water to evaporate, cooling the cloth. These are worn draped over the back of your neck. (As a side note, these can be helpful for controlling a nose bleed). 
                                                                • "Mansfield Two Dot Pistol Iron Sights"--The Firearms Blog. This is something that you need to see to really understand, so I recommend that you go to the linked article. Basically, though, it works on the principle of Vernier acuity--"the ability to discern a disalignment among two line segments or gratings." In this case, however, what the inventor uses are two circles: half of a circle on each side of the rear sight, and the other half of each circle on the front sight. The object is to align the halves to form two whole circles. 

                                                                Other Stuff:

                                                                Monday, June 19, 2017

                                                                June 19, 2017 -- A Quick Run Around the Web

                                                                Look at his trigger finger. Is that normally taught in NRA firearms courses? (Source: "NRA Disallows 1911s As 'Primary Handguns' From Its 'Carry Guard' Classes"--The Firearms Blog).
                                                                According to BAE, liquid armor has an advantage of being lighter than other armor materials at comparable protection levels. When combined with Kevlar, it also allows 45% of body armor thickness reduction as well as allows more motion freedom for the soldiers. So when the projectile hits such armor, the special liquid media (similar to non-Newtonian fluids) immediately hardens at the point of impact and restricts the motion of Kevlar yarns making it harder and more resistant to the impact. At the same time, when there is no stress of impact, it keeps the armor flexible enough not to constrain the dexterity of soldier’s motions.
                                                                • "An Introduction to Revolver Reloads"--Revolver Guy. He links to a video on methods of reloading a revolver, but instead focuses on some other factors: using a cartridge that is amenable to rapid reloading in a revolver because of the bullet shape and nickel plated brass: sharp angles on a bullet can catch on the edge of the cylinder and slow a reload. Also, he reminds readers to keep their cylinders clean to facilitate both loading and ejecting spent casings. Finally, he discusses some of the speed loaders on the market. 

                                                                Other Stuff:
                                                                • The New York Times has called for the mass deportation of blacks. Bret Stephens, in an op-ed entitled "Only Mass Deportation Can Save America," observes that "[t]he United States has too many people who don’t work hard, don’t believe in God, don’t contribute much to society and don’t appreciate the greatness of the American system." He goes on to describe these people in round-about terms, saying that:
                                                                I speak of Americans whose families have been in this country for a few generations. Complacent, entitled and often shockingly ignorant on basic points of American law and history, they are the stagnant pool in which our national prospects risk drowning.
                                                                He then goes on to discuss these Americans' high crime and incarceration rates compared to immigrants, poor educational achievement--especially in STEM fields--and the rate of out-of-wedlock births. While he attempts to obfuscate the identity of these Americans he wishes to deport, it is pretty clear which group he is talking about if you have studied the relevant statistics: within the United States, and compared to other groups, blacks have the highest incarceration rates (higher than Hispanics and far higher than whites), they have the highest rates of out-of-wedlock births and the lowest educational achievements. They generally claim a greater religiosity, but if crime statistics and out-of-wedlock births are any sign, are not ones that take the teachings of the Bible very seriously. While Stephens is certainly audacious, I have to wonder what his friends and colleagues would think of his plan to deport blacks.
                                                                       In the spring of 2016, Brian Levin found himself in an uncomfortable position: trying to save the life of a Ku Klux Klan member.
                                                                         Levin, a former New York City cop who studies domestic extremism as the director of the Center for the Study of Hate and Extremism at California State University, was documenting a Klan rally in Anaheim, California, when a counterprotest suddenly took a violent swing — forcing Levin to physically place himself between a Klansman and a furious, anti-fascist mob that seemed ready to kill.
                                                                           It made Levin wonder if in his focus on the obvious subject — the white supremacists — he’d overlooked a growing source of extremism: the far left. “At that point, I said we have something coalescing on the hard left,” Levin told VICE News.
                                                                      Well, to be honest, how could they have guessed that the left might be dangerous? I mean, they've only had thousands of terrorist incidents in the 1960's and 1970's, every presidential assassination or assassination attempt since Lincoln, millions in damaged and destroyed property by groups such BLM, Antifa, and various animal rights and environmental groups, while only a handful of incidents from what could be considered the political right (and none from Republicans). With anti-terrorism people like this, 9/11 was not just possible, but a given.
                                                                        Democrats may be horrified by [the] attempted massacre of the GOP House baseball team by an avowed progressive, but their incendiary demands for “massive resistance” since November have been an open plea for the escalation of words into violent action. The daily repetition that President Trump is an illegitimate usurper who stole the election through collusion with foreign powers has been a hypnotic incantation in search of an Oswald: a siren call for an assassin.
                                                                                 As American women, many of us have an idea of what feminists are; freelancing women with all the sexual freedom in the world. But this is exactly the problem with American feminism; it is all about sex and the liberation of our bodies. Certainly, things like abortion and contraception is a part of that freedom, but in today’s society the fight has taken on a much different tone.
                                                                                   Hip Feminist campaigns like Free the Nipple only encourage a gullible behavior of disrespect for our own bodies, leading to everyone else around us disrespecting our bodies as well. If we want to be respected as women and taken seriously in all our endeavors we should look to a new source; Muslim women. Muslim women, as well as Muslim men, see every body as a sacred temple, especially the female body. Opposed to exposing themselves, it is through modesty. When we think of modern feminists we should stray away from the new American trends and start looking to what we have always thought as a contradiction; Muslim feminists.
                                                                                     While I don't disagree that Feminism has taken women down a long and lonely road of carnal fulfillment to replace their spiritual impoverishment, the rest of the article is pure bunk. For instance, this line that "Muslim women, as well as Muslim men, see every body as a sacred temple, especially the female body." If that is so, why have Muslim men turned Sweden into the rape capital of Europe (the whole world if one discounts Africa)? Why the widespread rape of young children (boys and girls) among Muslims? Why the female genital mutilation? Why must women be covered from the top of the head, to the tip of the toes in shapeless clothing? 
                                                                                     And where does the reference to our bodies being a temple come from? Oh, yeah: 1 Corinthians 6:19 -- a Christian scripture. 
                                                                                       2,000 cases. 
                                                                                         That was the most overlooked revelation to come from the testimony of the former FBI director. While the media parsed every Comey hiccup to bolster its election conspiracy theories, it ignored that number. 
                                                                                            Comey stated that there were around 2,000 terrorism investigations. 1,000 of those came from “home grown violent extremism” with no evidence of contact with foreign terrorists. Another 1,000 had "some contact with foreign terrorists". 300 from that 2,000 had come to America as refugees. 
                                                                                               Two-thirds of the refugee terrorists were from Iraq. The other third were mainly from the six countries named in President Trump’s travel pause which left-wing activist judges have unconstitutionally halted. 
                                                                                        These numbers are just for the United States. The numbers in Europe are much worse: the UK alone has 3,000 potential terrorists that are being investigated.
                                                                                        • The return of tribalism: "Our narrowing world"--Richard Fernandez at PJ Media discussing terrorism in Europe and attacks on our troops in Afghanistan by supposed allies:
                                                                                               Government is losing its credibility as an effective protector.  Under these circumstances "carrying on exactly as before" is likely to have a meaning opposite to Independent's intention.  For most people it will mean continuing to batten down the hatches and rebuilding the trust networks so foolishly discarded when they put their trust in the State. The vision of future may prove to be not the borderless EU after all -- but Israel.  If government fails to protect people they are likely to fall back on tribalism and wire instead.
                                                                                                  The issue is whether order can recover before the world fragments into a patchwork of affinity groups. Tribes have considerable advantages after all. They are designed to provide trust, a commodity often more valuable than the theoretically greater military potential of an open group.  An open group without trust is a kill zone. ...
                                                                                                     Tribes and clans are still used when information security and omerta are paramount.  No technical solution yet devised can beat treachery.  Only loyalty can do that -- and we have made loyalty, to nation at least, a bad word.  ...
                                                                                                     You can't operate without trust.
                                                                                                       If we are to prevent a new medievalism finding the right balance between an open society and maintaining loyalty and allegiance is necessary.  It is a difficult task under any circumstances.  But rarely has anyone failed more dismally at it than the leaders of our multi-culti world.  By stigmatizing calls for reasonable loyalty as bigotry they have climbed out on a limb and sawed themselves off; by their dogmatic insistence on mindless inclusion they've foreclosed all attempts to bring things back to even keel.  They have reduced themselves to the level of hapless bystanders, unable to either prevent or explain an onslaught they themselves -- were they honest enough to admit it -- should have foreseen.
                                                                                                In the report, researchers at the Facebook Artificial Intelligence Research lab describe using machine learning to train their “dialog agents” to negotiate. (And it turns out bots are actually quite good at dealmaking.) At one point, the researchers write, they had to tweak one of their models because otherwise the bot-to-bot conversation “led to divergence from human language as the agents developed their own language for negotiating.” They had to use what’s called a fixed supervised model instead.

                                                                                                Disaster Risks for Seattle

                                                                                                 A 2005 photograph of downtown Seattle (Source)
                                                                                                     I had to travel to Seattle last week for business. It had been several years since I had last been there.  And, as always, I am struck by the ethnic diversity of the city, and the sheer number of coffee shops. The downtown seemed to be in relatively good shape--it didn't appear that there were abandoned or empty buildings, which I take as some indication of the economic health of an area. The weather, of course, was rainy, varying from a light drizzle to something a couple steps below a downpour, but still sufficient to soak anyone without an umbrella or rain coat.

                                                                                                       From the point of view of prepping and disaster planning, I am always struck by how the terrain would prevent the evacuation or relocation of much of the population in the event of a disaster: especially along the edge of the bay and in and around the downtown area. As you may know, the primary north-south artery through Seattle is Interstate 5 (I-5) which bisects the peninsula on which the City is located, swinging south-west below the harbor. (I-5 also continues across the narrow channel on the north of the peninsula and continues northward). The primary east-west artery is I-90 which crosses the Lacey V. Murrow Bridge to Mercer Island, and then across another narrow channel to Bellevue. At the north end of the peninsula is another bridge over which runs Hwy 520 that is also provides east-west access from the tip of the peninsula to Hunts Point north of Bellevue. To the west of Seattle is Puget Sound. While there are other surface streets running north south and east west, movement is ultimately limited by the waters of the Sound, which means that you will have to cross a bridge going any direction but south.

                                                                                                       Notwithstanding that Seattle is in-line with the Cascade line of volcanoes (part of the Ring of Fire around the Pacific), it is not very geologically active. The most likely disasters in the Seattle area would be from flooding--coastal flooding from waves and tides (including King tides) and riverine flooding from high runoff or, potentially, a dam failure--or landslides, which because of the steep terrain, soil, and high rainfall, is not uncommon.

                                                                                                       However, there is always the risk of a major earthquake from shifting within the Cascadia subduction zone. The New Yorker published an article in 2015 explaining why such an earthquake would be so devastating. According to the article, the Cascadia subduction zone "runs for seven hundred miles off the coast of the Pacific Northwest, beginning near Cape Mendocino, California, continuing along Oregon and Washington, and terminating around Vancouver Island, Canada," and is capable of producing extraordinarily powerful earthquakes--much more powerful than could be produced by the San Andreas Fault.  If only the southern portion of the fault slipped, it would produce an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 to 8.6. But "[i]f the entire zone gives way at once, an event that seismologists call a full-margin rupture, the magnitude will be somewhere between 8.7 and 9.2."

                                                                                                       ... When the next very big earthquake hits, the northwest edge of the continent, from California to Canada and the continental shelf to the Cascades, will drop by as much as six feet and rebound thirty to a hundred feet to the west—losing, within minutes, all the elevation and compression it has gained over centuries. Some of that shift will take place beneath the ocean, displacing a colossal quantity of seawater. ... The water will surge upward into a huge hill, then promptly collapse. One side will rush west, toward Japan. The other side will rush east, in a seven-hundred-mile liquid wall that will reach the Northwest coast, on average, fifteen minutes after the earthquake begins. By the time the shaking has ceased and the tsunami has receded, the region will be unrecognizable. Kenneth Murphy, who directs fema’s Region X, the division responsible for Oregon, Washington, Idaho, and Alaska, says, “Our operating assumption is that everything west of Interstate 5 will be toast.”

                                                                                                       In the Pacific Northwest, the area of impact will cover some hundred and forty thousand square miles, including Seattle, Tacoma, Portland, Eugene, Salem (the capital city of Oregon), Olympia (the capital of Washington), and some seven million people. When the next full-margin rupture happens, that region will suffer the worst natural disaster in the history of North America. ... FEMA projects that nearly thirteen thousand people will die in the Cascadia earthquake and tsunami. Another twenty-seven thousand will be injured, and the agency expects that it will need to provide shelter for a million displaced people, and food and water for another two and a half million. 

                                                                                                According to the article, the Pacific Northwest has experienced 41 subduction-zone earthquakes in the past 10,000 years, giving an average recurrence interval of 243 years. The last earthquake was in early 1700--317 years ago. Scientists believe that there is a 1:3 chance of such an earthquake within the next 50 years.

                                                                                                       If and when such a quake hits, it will be a significant event. The New Yorker article describes it thus*:
                                                                                                       The first sign that the Cascadia earthquake has begun will be a compressional wave, radiating outward from the fault line. Compressional waves are fast-moving, high-frequency waves, audible to dogs and certain other animals but experienced by humans only as a sudden jolt. They are not very harmful, but they are potentially very useful, since they travel fast enough to be detected by sensors thirty to ninety seconds ahead of other seismic waves. That is enough time for earthquake early-warning systems, such as those in use throughout Japan, to automatically perform a variety of lifesaving functions: shutting down railways and power plants, opening elevators and firehouse doors, alerting hospitals to halt surgeries, and triggering alarms so that the general public can take cover. The Pacific Northwest has no early-warning system. When the Cascadia earthquake begins, there will be, instead, a cacophony of barking dogs and a long, suspended, what-was-that moment before the surface waves arrive. Surface waves are slower, lower-frequency waves that move the ground both up and down and side to side: the shaking, starting in earnest. 

                                                                                                       Soon after that shaking begins, the electrical grid will fail, likely everywhere west of the Cascades and possibly well beyond. If it happens at night, the ensuing catastrophe will unfold in darkness. In theory, those who are at home when it hits should be safest; it is easy and relatively inexpensive to seismically safeguard a private dwelling. But, lulled into nonchalance by their seemingly benign environment, most people in the Pacific Northwest have not done so. That nonchalance will shatter instantly. So will everything made of glass. Anything indoors and unsecured will lurch across the floor or come crashing down: bookshelves, lamps, computers, cannisters of flour in the pantry. Refrigerators will walk out of kitchens, unplugging themselves and toppling over. Water heaters will fall and smash interior gas lines. Houses that are not bolted to their foundations will slide off—or, rather, they will stay put, obeying inertia, while the foundations, together with the rest of the Northwest, jolt westward. Unmoored on the undulating ground, the homes will begin to collapse. 

                                                                                                       Across the region, other, larger structures will also start to fail. Until 1974, the state of Oregon had no seismic code, and few places in the Pacific Northwest had one appropriate to a magnitude-9.0 earthquake until 1994. The vast majority of buildings in the region were constructed before then. ...
                                                                                                       ... FEMA calculates that, across the region, something on the order of a million buildings—more than three thousand of them schools—will collapse or be compromised in the earthquake. ....
                                                                                                Bridges will also collapse: half of the highway bridges, and the greater number of the bridges crossing rivers and estuaries. The article continues:
                                                                                                ... The shaking from the Cascadia quake will set off landslides throughout the region—up to thirty thousand of them in Seattle alone, the city’s emergency-management office estimates. It will also induce a process called liquefaction, whereby seemingly solid ground starts behaving like a liquid, to the detriment of anything on top of it. Fifteen per cent of Seattle is built on liquefiable land, including seventeen day-care centers and the homes of some thirty-four thousand five hundred people. ...
                                                                                                The earthquake will also generate a tsunami. Those living within the zone danger will have only 10 to 30 minutes to evacuate following the earthquake--along roads that will largely be impassible because of the earthquake.
                                                                                                ... Its height will vary with the contours of the coast, from twenty feet to more than a hundred feet. It will not look like a Hokusai-style wave, rising up from the surface of the sea and breaking from above. It will look like the whole ocean, elevated, overtaking land. Nor will it be made only of water—not once it reaches the shore. It will be a five-story deluge of pickup trucks and doorframes and cinder blocks and fishing boats and utility poles and everything else that once constituted the coastal towns of the Pacific Northwest.
                                                                                                According to estimates given in the article, "it will take between one and three months after the earthquake to restore electricity, a month to a year to restore drinking water and sewer service, six months to a year to restore major highways, and eighteen months to restore health-care facilities."

                                                                                                      The City of Seattle has a web-site called the "Seattle Hazard Explorer" that shows in a map format some of the principle risk area in the event of various natural disasters: tsunamis/seiches, liquefaction of the soil, landslides and flooding. It also has a map showing unreinforced masonry buildings which are particularly prone to failure in an earthquake. There are a large number of these buildings between I-90 on the south and Hwy 520 on the north. If you live in the area, I would advise consulting those maps.

                                                                                                       None of the foregoing considers the impact if Mr. Rainier should erupt.
                                                                                                       Mount Rainier's next eruption ... could produce volcanic ash, lava flows, and avalanches of intensely hot rock and volcanic gases, called "pyroclastic flows." 
                                                                                                Some of these events swiftly melt snow and ice and could produce torrents of meltwater that pick up loose rock and become rapidly flowing slurries of mud and boulders known as "lahars." In contrast to lava flows and pyroclastic flows that are unlikely to extend farther than 10 miles from the volcano's summit and remain within Mount Rainier National Park, the largest lahars can travel for tens of miles and reach Puget Sound. 
                                                                                                       Volcanic ash will be distributed downwind, most often toward the east, away from Puget Sound's large population centers. Airborne plumes of volcanic ash can greatly endanger aircraft in flight and seriously disrupt aviation operations. Although seldom life threatening, volcanic ash fallout on the ground can be a nuisance to residents, affect utility and transportation systems, and entail substantial clean-up costs.
                                                                                                       At Mount Rainier, the risk from lahars is greater than from lava flows, volcanic ash fall, or other volcanic phenomena because some pathways for future lahars are densely populated and contain important infrastructure such as highways, bridges, ports, and pipelines. Lahars look and behave like flowing concrete, and they destroy or bury most manmade structures in their paths. Past lahars probably traveled 45 to 50 miles per hour and were as much as 100 feet or more thick where confined in valleys near the volcano. They thinned and spread out in the wide valleys downstream, slowing to 15 to 25 miles per hour. Deposits of past lahars are found in all of the valleys that start on Mount Rainier's flanks.
                                                                                                However, if does not appear that Seattle or its environs would be at much risk from an eruption at Mr. Rainier, although lahars might follows some of the rivers and valleys to cities and towns south-west of Seattle, including Tacoma.

                                                                                                 * NOTE: The New Yorker article also has some information regarding Oregon generally, and Portland in particular, which I have omitted.