Friday, April 29, 2016

The Demographic Decline Continues

The national teen birth rate has fallen to a record low, according to a new analysis released Thursday by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.  
From 2006 to 2014, the teen birth rate declined 41 percent. In 2014, there were 24.2 births for every 1,000 adolescent females — the lowest rate ever recorded. 
Either the Huff Po reporter didn't read the CDC news release, or is not aware of the meaning of "adolescent." From the CDC's statement:
In the new report, CDC researchers analyzed national- and state-level data from the National Vital Statistics System (NVSS) to examine trends in births to American teens ages 15 to 19 years between 2006 and 2014. County-level NVSS data for 2013 and 2014 also offer a point-in-time picture of local birth rates. To better understand the relationship between key social and economic factors and teen birth rates, researchers examined data from the American Community Survey between 2010 and 2014. 
(Underline added). Unfortunately, the CDC statement didn't give a further breakdown of the ages, so we don't know what percentage of the decline was from adults (i.e., the 18 and 19 age bracket), or from the lower age brackets. However, since more and more women are delaying marriage and having children, I would expect that the decline is probably concentrated in the 18 and 19 year old age bracket.

Related: "Latino, black teen birth rates fall to all-time low – though still twice the rate of whites"--Fox News.

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