Thursday, March 5, 2026

False Flag Attack On British Airbase?

Our NATO allies for the most part, including the UK, don't want anything to do with the war against Iraq, going so far as to prohibit the U.S. from using airbases on their territories and complicating U.S. logistics. And yet this is coming to an end after an Iranian made drone struck a British airbase on the island of Cyprus. The response, per Reuters, was that "Britain, France and Greece are sending air-defence forces to Cyprus after drones struck the Royal ‌Air Force Akrotiri base on the island, prompting a broader regional defence military response on Tuesday from European allies." And other reports indicate that "Italy, France, Spain and the Netherlands will send naval assets to Cyprus." "France also said it would allow US aircraft to access some of its bases in the Middle East during the conflict with Iran," that latter article also reports, adding:

    Starmer initially refused to have any role in the US-Israeli war with Iran but later agreed to a US request to use two British military bases for a "specific and limited defensive purpose".

    Those bases are in Gloucestershire, western England, and the UK-US Diego Garcia base in the Indian Ocean.

    Starmer insisted that the Akrotiri base is not being used by US bombers.

But even that has changed, with the Guardian now reporting:

    Britain has not ruled out joining in future strikes against Iranian ballistic missile launch sites amid concerns that otherwise Iran may be able to deplete allies’ stocks of air defence interceptors, officials have indicated.
    
    US heavy bombers are expected to reach UK bases at Diego Garcia in the Chagos Islands and Fairford in Gloucestershire in the next few days, from where they are expected to attack Iran’s underground “missile cities”.

    In a briefing, western officials did not rule out the possibility that the UK could assist in striking missile depots. “I wouldn’t rule anything out at all because we just don’t know what will happen day to day, week to week as this progresses,” one said.

The bases will be hosting stealth bombers, according to Fox News

    The interesting part, though, is that the drone that struck the Cyprus airbase did not come from Iran. Per the Guardian, "Cypriot officials have indicated the drone that struck the runway came from an area of Lebanon controlled by Hezbollah. That has not been confirmed by the UK Ministry of Defence, though a launch from Iran has been ruled out." And a more recent article from earlier today relates:

    A drone which hit Britain's Royal Air Force Akrotiri base in Cyprus was not launched from Iran as many had initially assumed, the Ministry of Defence (MoD) has revealed.

    Officials reportedly believe the "Shahed-type drone" evaded detection by flying low and slow on Sunday. It hit a hangar used by American U-2 spy planes and burst into flames.

    There were no casualties and the MoD said there was "no damage to equipment inside the hangar".

    But the UK has still not confirmed where exactly the drone was launched from – and who was responsible.

    The MoD said it believes the drone was launched by a pro-Iran militia in Lebanon or in western Iraq, but an investigation has proved unable to conclusively establish where.

     There has been speculation that Israel may have been behind the drone attack in order to draw the UK into the conflict (see, e.g., this video from History Debunked), which has worked to some extent since the U.S. now has access to airbases that had previously been denied to it. This isn't as farfetched as it may sound as Israel has done something similar at least once before in 1954 now called the Lavon Affair. As Wikipedia explains (footnotes omitted):

The Lavon affair was a failed Israeli covert operation, codenamed Operation Susannah, conducted in Egypt in the summer of 1954. As part of a false flag operation, a group of Egyptian Jews were recruited by Israeli military intelligence to plant bombs inside Egyptian-, American-, and British-owned civilian targets: cinemas, libraries, and American educational centers. The bombs were timed to detonate several hours after closing time. The attacks were to be blamed on the Muslim Brotherhood, Egyptian communists, "unspecified malcontents", or "local nationalists" with the aim of creating a climate of sufficient violence and instability to induce the British government to retain its occupying troops in Egypt's Suez Canal zone. The operation caused no casualties among the population, but resulted in the deaths of four operatives. The overseer of the operation allegedly informed the Egyptians, after which 11 suspected operatives were arrested. Two died by suicide after being captured, two were executed by the Egyptian authorities, two of them were acquitted at trial, and the remaining five received prison terms ranging from 7 years to life in prison.  

So, on one hand, we know that Israel has carried out these type of operations in the past, and the drone attack (which caused minimal damage) was successful in getting Britain and other European countries to be more supportive of the U.S. air operations than they otherwise have been. On the other hand, with Iranian military leadership destroyed or in disarray, there have been suggestions that the Iranian military and Iranian proxies (such as Hezbollah) would act according to prearranged plans; and an attack on U.S. spy planes housed in Cyprus would certainly seem to fit that bill. But my question is why that particular airbase and not other U.S. assets in the area? Certainly even Hezbollah should have been smart enough to know that an attack against a British airbase had a high likelihood of bringing yet another country into the war as an ally to the U.S. and Israel. 

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