Thursday, October 3, 2013

A Lack of Extreme Weather

Although you wouldn't know it from the media, we actually have not been subject to as many extreme weather events now as in the past. Although this article is criticizing the global warming fanatics, this should be of interest:
Embarrassed by the current decade-and-a-half period without any global warming, those calling for worldwide action to halt climate change have shifted focus to worries about extreme weather events. It makes sense, of course, for alarmists to direct attention away from something that isn’t happening — global warming — towards frightening stories about something that could conceivably be occurring. Unfortunately for the alarmists — but fortunately for the rest of us — both independent scientific observations and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s own latest report (released on Monday) make it clear that a warming of the Earth is not leading to an increase in extreme weather. In fact, the opposite seems to be the case. 
... Taylor notes that data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration showed the period of May 2012 to May 2013 had the fewest tornadoes ever recorded, and 2012 had the fewest violent tornados (EF3+) ever observed. The low incidence of violent tornadoes is particularly notable as tornadoes constitute extreme weather that does real damage. The May 2012-13 period also had the second-fewest tornado fatalities since 1875 despite a huge increase in the nation’s population since then, and the longest streak ever of days without a tornado-related death: 220 days. In July 2012, we had the fewest tornadoes since modern records began. 
The same is true of hurricanes. Although the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ominously predicted an “active or extremely active” hurricane season for 2013, hurricane activity has been virtually nonexistent this year, and not a single hurricane has struck the United States. 
The United States is enjoying its longest-recorded streak without a major hurricane strike: almost 2,900 days. The previous record was only 2,300 days. Similarly, droughts have become shorter and less frequent, soil moisture is increasing, flooding is decreasing, and the number of wildfires is less than a third of what it was during its late-1970s/early 1980s peak. (The amount of acres burned has increased, though undoubtedly due to poor forest management by the government.)
Although I can't lay my fingers on statistical evidence at the moment, I suspect that other natural disasters have also decreased over the last few decades. Certainly, if we had the same natural disasters repeat now that occurred world-wide in the 1800s (e.g., the massive volcanic explosions that cooled world temperatures and the Carrington Event), our very civilization would be at risk. I don't know why the stability, other than perhaps it is the calm before the storm.

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